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How to Avoid Real Estate Scams?
What real estate decline?
What the budget means for the Property Business?
How to invest in a changing real estate market?
HOW TO INVEST IN A CHANGING REAL
By Manzoor Ali
many ways to describe real estate markets, including “hot” versus “flat” or
“rising” versus “falling” or “buyer’s” versus “seller’s.” All real estate
markets are subject to fluctuations; but these fluctuations typically do not
greatly influence the ability for the informed investor to make a profit.
Unlike the stock and commodities markets, real estate markets don’t rise and
fall rapidly. For long-term investing, additional market factors are
important to your buying decision. Investors who plan for short-term real
estate market appreciation are speculating, which is
outside of the basic model of low-risk investing.
the ideal market for investing?
be clear: There is no such thing as an ideal real estate market for
investing. It tends to be more difficult to find bargains in rising markets,
however, because if the market keeps rising, the probability of selling the
property quickly for a large profit increases. In contrast, when property
values are falling, more "bargains" become available.
Yet you need to assess the true value of these properties based on
when you expect to sell the property. Thus, your purchase must be made at a
steep discount to allow for a profitable sale later.
example, many people who invested in DHA Karachi’s Phase VIII five years ago
anticipated the value rising to levels of DHA’s other phases. They invested
in DHA’s reputation and brand value; and thus, today those values have shot
up over 1000% percent.
Islamabad, Investors realized that the Capital was growing quickly and thus
running out of space – so they invested in the suburbs, as early as the
mid-90s. Today, those suburbs are bustling with activity as housing society
after housing society is launched, constructed & delivered. Successful
investing is anticipation of demand.
some basic strategies to limit risk?
strategies can be used successfully in virtually all market conditions.
Become educated in your local market first by understanding the large-scale
trends—from national, regional, and specific neighborhoods. Learn about
target neighborhoods, enlisting the aid of successful real estate
professionals along the way.
These professionals will help interpret market indicators, such as the
average length of time houses are sitting on the market this month versus
last month or last year. Armed with this type of information, you will be
able to make good decisions.
Inventory, defined as the number of properties offered for sale, is a good
indicator of current market trends. If inventory is low because of building
restrictions or geography, then high demand will lead to rising prices. In
rising markets, sellers often capitalize on the excitement of new listings
to get properties under contract quickly, at premium asking prices.
In Pakistan, there are also seasonal fluctuations in inventory, such as
fewer listed properties in the winter months than in summer and a surge of
listings in the spring.
seasonal drops in inventory reflect the trend to market properties more
aggressively in spring and summer months when real estate markets are more
active. Properties sell year-round, though investors should plan to reduce
the price for winter listings or at least know that properties take longer
to sell during those months.
most markets have risen over the last five years, some are flattening out,
and some may have already dropped. This type of market offers great
opportunity to the savvy investor. When property values are falling,
inventory often rises, and many sellers become highly motivated when their
properties fail to sell quickly.
Motivated sellers will do whatever it takes to sell their property. Whether
sellers need to move from the area, are struggling financially, or have
other pressing reasons to sell, they may well accept a below-market offer.
Investors know that a weak market can offer extraordinary deals, though
flippers need to proceed with caution. In a falling market, even a few
months’ delay can turn a sound deal into a headache. It always pays to know
the market and purchase the property at a price low enough to net an
eventual profit, even if the market continues to fall.
The common myth is that you cannot make money by in a bad real estate
market. In a bad real estate market, you can often buy “junk” properties for
(as an example) 50 Rupees and sell them for 60 Rupees. It’s all in how you
do the math.
It is worth noting that markets can and will change. If the market rebounds
after a purchase, then all is well for the investor. However, if the market
takes a downturn after a purchase, there can be trouble ahead. Markets
commonly show signs of slowing or turning over several months.
early signs come from national economic & political trends.
important than guessing the future of a local market, you need to have a
clear plan in mind when purchasing property. A smart investor knows exactly
how he will exit the property before he buys. An even smarter investor will
have a backup plan or two, in case the first course of action doesn't work.
In short, know your market and your plan before you begin to invest.
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